KHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Salavat Ufa — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Salavat Ufa 48%, Barys Astana 52% including overtime.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Salavat Ufa — No. 18, 21 pts; Barys Astana — No. 9, 25 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Salavat Ufa: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Salavat Ufa 3 wins, Barys Astana 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Barys Astana | 2.7–2.8 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Shanghai2:3
- 27.10Sochi1:2
- 25.10Bars Kazan1:2
- 21.10away · Magnitogorsk5:4 SO
- 19.10away · Vladivostok0:2
- 30.10away · Shanghai4:2
- 28.10away · Dinamo Minsk1:0
- 26.10away · Yekaterinburg1:4
- 21.10away · Vladivostok4:5 OT
- 19.10away · Khabarovsk2:5
Head to head
- 09.09.2026Barys Astana — Salavat Ufa8:6
- 10.01.2026Salavat Ufa — Barys Astana3:1
- 27.11.2025Salavat Ufa — Barys Astana7:4
- 21.11.2025Barys Astana — Salavat Ufa2:1
- 05.11.2025Barys Astana — Salavat Ufa1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskVladivostokpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- CherepovetsSochipreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- CSKA MoscowLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.9
- ShanghaiKhabarovskpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →