KHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Shanghai — Khabarovsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Shanghai 51%, Khabarovsk 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Shanghai — No. 4, 30 pts; Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Shanghai 3 wins, Khabarovsk 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shanghai — Khabarovsk | 2.3–2.2 | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Shanghai
- Shanghai goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11Cherepovets3:1
- 01.11Salavat Ufa3:2
- 30.10Barys Astana2:4
- 25.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 23.10away · Lada2:0
- 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
- 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
- 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 25.10Vladivostok3:0
- 19.10Barys Astana5:2
Head to head
- 07.01.2026Shanghai — Khabarovsk2:0
- 15.09.2025Khabarovsk — Shanghai5:4
- 07.01.2025Shanghai — Khabarovsk5:0
- 15.09.2024Khabarovsk — Shanghai2:3
- 29.09.2023Shanghai — Khabarovsk0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskVladivostokpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Salavat UfaBarys Astanapreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
- CherepovetsSochipreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- CSKA MoscowLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →