KHL · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Bars Kazan — Dynamo Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Bars Kazan 50%, Dynamo Moscow 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts; Dynamo Moscow — No. 13, 23 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Bars Kazan 2 wins, Dynamo Moscow 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars Kazan — Dynamo Moscow | 2.2–2.2 | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars Kazan
- Bars Kazan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Novosibirsk1:3
- 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
- 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
- 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
- 01.11away · Dinamo Minsk4:0
- 28.10Khabarovsk2:1
- 26.10Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
- 23.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2 OT
- 20.10Novosibirsk2:3 SO
Head to head
- 20.03.2026Dynamo Moscow — Bars Kazan5:7
- 13.11.2025Bars Kazan — Dynamo Moscow5:4
- 22.04.2025Bars Kazan — Dynamo Moscow1:6
- 20.04.2025Dynamo Moscow — Bars Kazan4:3
- 18.04.2025Bars Kazan — Dynamo Moscow2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- YekaterinburgSpartak Moscowpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- LadaMagnitogorskpreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.8
- NiznekamskDinamo Minskpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →