KHL · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Lada — Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Lada — No. 22, 13 pts; Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 36 pts. A gap of 23 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Lada 0 wins, Magnitogorsk 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lada — Magnitogorsk | 1.8–3.0 | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 28% | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 72% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lada
- Lada goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 02.11away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 30.10Avangard Omsk3:2 OT
- 27.10Vladivostok1:3
- 25.10Sochi3:4
- 23.10Shanghai0:2
- 03.11CSKA Moscow3:7
- 31.10away · Yekaterinburg4:3
- 29.10away · Novosibirsk2:5
- 27.10away · Niznekamsk3:2 OT
- 24.10Novosibirsk5:1
Head to head
- 03.02.2026Lada — Magnitogorsk2:3
- 12.11.2025Magnitogorsk — Lada6:4
- 03.03.2025Magnitogorsk — Lada2:1 SO
- 05.12.2024Lada — Magnitogorsk0:4
- 16.11.2024Lada — Magnitogorsk1:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 24 | 17 | +23 | 36 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- YekaterinburgSpartak Moscowpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- NiznekamskDinamo Minskpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- Bars KazanDynamo Moscowpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →