KHL · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Niznekamsk — Dinamo Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Minsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Niznekamsk — No. 6, 29 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Niznekamsk 2 wins, Dinamo Minsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niznekamsk — Dinamo Minsk | 2.4–2.6 | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Niznekamsk
- Niznekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · Sochi2:1
- 01.11away · Novosibirsk3:1
- 29.10Vladivostok3:4
- 27.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Avangard Omsk3:2
- 01.11Dynamo Moscow0:4
- 30.10Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
- 28.10Barys Astana0:1
- 24.10away · Nizhny Novgorod2:1 OT
- 22.10away · Sochi2:3 OT
Head to head
- 17.10.2025Dinamo Minsk — Niznekamsk3:4 OT
- 11.09.2025Niznekamsk — Dinamo Minsk4:3
- 30.01.2025Niznekamsk — Dinamo Minsk1:5
- 19.10.2024Dinamo Minsk — Niznekamsk4:1
- 20.02.2024Dinamo Minsk — Niznekamsk2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- YekaterinburgSpartak Moscowpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- LadaMagnitogorskpreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Bars KazanDynamo Moscowpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →