KHL · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Yekaterinburg — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Spartak Moscow are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts; Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 28 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Yekaterinburg 3 wins, Spartak Moscow 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yekaterinburg — Spartak Moscow | 2.1–2.4 | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Yekaterinburg
- Yekaterinburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
- 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 26.10Barys Astana4:1
- 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
- 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
- 01.11away · Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 30.10away · Cherepovets5:1
- 29.10away · Cherepovets2:3 SO
- 25.10Shanghai3:4 SO
- 23.10Cherepovets3:1
Head to head
- 26.09.2026Spartak Moscow — Yekaterinburg2:4
- 27.11.2025Spartak Moscow — Yekaterinburg3:1
- 19.09.2025Yekaterinburg — Spartak Moscow5:4 SO
- 15.01.2025Spartak Moscow — Yekaterinburg2:3
- 02.12.2024Yekaterinburg — Spartak Moscow4:5 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- LadaMagnitogorskpreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.8
- NiznekamskDinamo Minskpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- Bars KazanDynamo Moscowpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →