Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Novosibirsk — No. 20, 19 pts; Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 19, 19 pts.
- Tractor Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Novosibirsk 1 win, Tractor Chelyabinsk 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk | 2.2–2.6 | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Novosibirsk
- Novosibirsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11Niznekamsk1:3
- 29.10Magnitogorsk5:2
- 26.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2
- 24.10away · Magnitogorsk1:5
- 22.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:6
- 01.11CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
- 30.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 28.10away · CSKA Moscow1:5
- 26.10Novosibirsk2:1
- 23.10Bars Kazan3:1
Head to head
- 26.10.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk2:1
- 10.10.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk1:2
- 31.01.2026Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk1:3
- 11.01.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk4:1
- 02.11.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 23 | 8 | -17 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- YekaterinburgSpartak Moscowpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- LadaMagnitogorskpreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.8
- NiznekamskDinamo Minskpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- Bars KazanDynamo Moscowpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →