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KHL · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk

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Model prediction for 17 November

Novosibirsk32%
Draw in regulation23%
Tractor Chelyabinsk46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Novosibirsk — No. 20, 19 pts; Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 19, 19 pts.
  • Tractor Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Novosibirsk 1 win, Tractor Chelyabinsk 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk2.2–2.6
Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Novosibirsk
  • Novosibirsk goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Novosibirsk

  • 01.11Niznekamsk1:3
  • 29.10Magnitogorsk5:2
  • 26.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2
  • 24.10away · Magnitogorsk1:5
  • 22.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:6

Tractor Chelyabinsk

  • 01.11CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:3
  • 28.10away · CSKA Moscow1:5
  • 26.10Novosibirsk2:1
  • 23.10Bars Kazan3:1

Head to head

  • 26.10.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk2:1
  • 10.10.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk1:2
  • 31.01.2026Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk1:3
  • 11.01.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk4:1
  • 02.11.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk4:3

Full record: 52 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
18Salavat Ufa221011161–67-621
19Tractor Chelyabinsk21831043–53-1019
20Novosibirsk23831251–68-1719
21Sochi22701538–75-3714

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →