KHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Barys Astana — Vladivostok
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Barys Astana are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Barys Astana are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Barys Astana — No. 9, 25 pts; Vladivostok — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Barys Astana 2 wins, Vladivostok 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Barys Astana 13, Vladivostok 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barys Astana — Vladivostok | 2.9–2.3 | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Barys Astana
- Barys Astana goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10away · Shanghai4:2
- 28.10away · Dinamo Minsk1:0
- 26.10away · Yekaterinburg1:4
- 21.10away · Vladivostok4:5 OT
- 19.10away · Khabarovsk2:5
- 04.11SKA St. Petersburg4:0
- 01.11Khabarovsk2:5
- 29.10away · Niznekamsk4:3
- 27.10away · Lada3:1
- 25.10away · Khabarovsk0:3
Head to head
- 21.10.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana5:4 OT
- 16.03.2026Barys Astana — Vladivostok2:6
- 13.03.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana6:2
- 12.03.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana1:2
- 04.02.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskAvangard Omskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.8
- YekaterinburgShanghaipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Spartak MoscowKhabarovskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →