KHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Magnitogorsk — Avangard Omsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 36 pts; Avangard Omsk — No. 15, 22 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Magnitogorsk 2 wins, Avangard Omsk 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Magnitogorsk 9, Avangard Omsk 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — Avangard Omsk | 2.6–2.2 | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitogorsk
- Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11CSKA Moscow3:7
- 31.10away · Yekaterinburg4:3
- 29.10away · Novosibirsk2:5
- 27.10away · Niznekamsk3:2 OT
- 24.10Novosibirsk5:1
- 01.11away · Sochi1:2 OT
- 30.10away · Lada2:3 OT
- 28.10away · Bars Kazan4:0
- 26.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2 OT
- 22.10Niznekamsk2:3
Head to head
- 28.09.2026Avangard Omsk — Magnitogorsk1:5
- 13.09.2026Avangard Omsk — Magnitogorsk3:2 OT
- 27.02.2026Avangard Omsk — Magnitogorsk3:2 OT
- 08.01.2026Magnitogorsk — Avangard Omsk2:1
- 26.12.2025Avangard Omsk — Magnitogorsk2:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 24 | 17 | +23 | 36 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.8
- YekaterinburgShanghaipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Barys AstanaVladivostokpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Spartak MoscowKhabarovskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →