KHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Spartak Moscow — Khabarovsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Spartak Moscow are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 28 pts; Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Spartak Moscow 4 wins, Khabarovsk 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — Khabarovsk | 2.4–1.8 | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 30.10away · Cherepovets5:1
- 29.10away · Cherepovets2:3 SO
- 25.10Shanghai3:4 SO
- 23.10Cherepovets3:1
- 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
- 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
- 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 25.10Vladivostok3:0
- 19.10Barys Astana5:2
Head to head
- 14.10.2026Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow1:2
- 13.03.2026Spartak Moscow — Khabarovsk1:0 OT
- 15.10.2025Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow4:3
- 20.11.2024Spartak Moscow — Khabarovsk7:3
- 19.10.2024Khabarovsk — Spartak Moscow4:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskAvangard Omskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.8
- YekaterinburgShanghaipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Barys AstanaVladivostokpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →