KHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Yekaterinburg — Shanghai
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Yekaterinburg are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Yekaterinburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts; Shanghai — No. 4, 30 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Yekaterinburg 3 wins, Shanghai 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Yekaterinburg 12, Shanghai 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yekaterinburg — Shanghai | 2.6–2.2 | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Yekaterinburg
- Yekaterinburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
- 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 26.10Barys Astana4:1
- 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
- 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
- 03.11Cherepovets3:1
- 01.11Salavat Ufa3:2
- 30.10Barys Astana2:4
- 25.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 23.10away · Lada2:0
Head to head
- 22.09.2026Shanghai — Yekaterinburg3:2
- 18.03.2026Shanghai — Yekaterinburg2:6
- 22.02.2026Yekaterinburg — Shanghai4:1
- 04.02.2025Shanghai — Yekaterinburg1:2 OT
- 21.11.2024Yekaterinburg — Shanghai1:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskAvangard Omskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:34.8
- Barys AstanaVladivostokpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Spartak MoscowKhabarovskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →