KHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Salavat Ufa 49%, Bars Kazan 51% including overtime.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Salavat Ufa — No. 18, 21 pts; Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Salavat Ufa: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Salavat Ufa 1 win, Bars Kazan 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Salavat Ufa 11, Bars Kazan 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan | 2.4–2.4 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Shanghai2:3
- 27.10Sochi1:2
- 25.10Bars Kazan1:2
- 21.10away · Magnitogorsk5:4 SO
- 19.10away · Vladivostok0:2
- 04.11away · Novosibirsk1:3
- 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
- 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
- 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
Head to head
- 25.10.2026Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan1:2
- 16.09.2026Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan3:4 OT
- 28.01.2026Bars Kazan — Salavat Ufa3:4 OT
- 20.12.2025Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan1:2
- 16.12.2025Bars Kazan — Salavat Ufa6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
| 19 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskAvangard Omskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- YekaterinburgShanghaipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Barys AstanaVladivostokpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Spartak MoscowKhabarovskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →