NHL · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Boston Bruins — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boston Bruins — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.6–2.9 | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · San Jose Sharks6:3
- 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
- 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
- 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
- 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
- 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Boston Bruins — Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 17.10.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Boston Bruins6:5
- 21.03.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Boston Bruins5:1
- 08.02.2025Boston Bruins — Vegas Golden Knights3:4
- 01.03.2024Boston Bruins — Vegas Golden Knights5:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
NHL on the same day
- Florida PanthersDetroit Red Wingspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Chicago BlackhawksColorado Avalanchepreliminary26742The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:55.7
- San Jose SharksCalgary Flamespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →