Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Brest — Mogilev

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Model prediction for 2 November

Brest68%
Draw in regulation16%
Mogilev16%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brest are clear favourites: 79% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.

Why

  • Brest are more dangerous in attack: 3.9 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brest — Mogilev3.9–2.1
Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout)79%
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)21%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)62%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)38%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brest
  • Brest goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brest

  • 12.10Zhlobin2:3
  • 10.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 06.10away · Molodechno3:2
  • 04.10away · Molodechno2:1 OT
  • 29.09Neman Grodno4:2

Mogilev

  • 11.10Gomel1:5
  • 09.10Gomel2:3
  • 06.10away · Lida1:5
  • 04.10away · Lida0:6
  • 30.09Vitebsk0:2

Head to head

  • 12.02.2026Mogilev — Brest3:5
  • 10.02.2026Mogilev — Brest4:0
  • 06.11.2025Brest — Mogilev3:2
  • 04.11.2025Brest — Mogilev5:1
  • 29.12.2024Mogilev — Brest4:3

Full record: 47 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.1
  • LidaSoligorskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →