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NHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights

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Model prediction for 8 November

Buffalo Sabres37%
Draw in regulation23%
Vegas Golden Knights39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Buffalo Sabres 49%, Vegas Golden Knights 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 17 pts; Vegas Golden Knights — No. 5, 22 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Buffalo Sabres: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Buffalo Sabres 4 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 1.
  • Days of rest before the match: Buffalo Sabres 8, Vegas Golden Knights 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights2.7–2.8
Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Buffalo Sabres

  • 31.10away · Los Angeles Kings3:2
  • 30.10away · Anaheim Ducks7:6
  • 28.10away · San Jose Sharks2:0
  • 25.10away · Washington Capitals3:4 OT
  • 22.10Philadelphia Flyers1:3

Vegas Golden Knights

  • 04.11away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
  • 03.11away · Boston Bruins2:3 SO
  • 31.10New Jersey Devils2:5
  • 28.10Ottawa Senators4:1
  • 25.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 18.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Buffalo Sabres0:2
  • 04.03.2026Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights3:2
  • 15.03.2025Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights4:3 SO
  • 05.01.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Buffalo Sabres3:1
  • 03.03.2024Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights7:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins16111458–38+2023
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights17102558–49+922
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMontreal Canadiens1593352–47+521
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217
19Buffalo Sabres1473443–49-617
20Washington Capitals1480649–48+116

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →