Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Buffalo Sabres 49%, Vegas Golden Knights 51% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 17 pts; Vegas Golden Knights — No. 5, 22 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Buffalo Sabres: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Buffalo Sabres 4 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Buffalo Sabres 8, Vegas Golden Knights 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.7–2.8 | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Buffalo Sabres
- Buffalo Sabres goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 31.10away · Los Angeles Kings3:2
- 30.10away · Anaheim Ducks7:6
- 28.10away · San Jose Sharks2:0
- 25.10away · Washington Capitals3:4 OT
- 22.10Philadelphia Flyers1:3
- 04.11away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 03.11away · Boston Bruins2:3 SO
- 31.10New Jersey Devils2:5
- 28.10Ottawa Senators4:1
- 25.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 OT
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Buffalo Sabres0:2
- 04.03.2026Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights3:2
- 15.03.2025Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights4:3 SO
- 05.01.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Buffalo Sabres3:1
- 03.03.2024Buffalo Sabres — Vegas Golden Knights7:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Nashville Predators | 15 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 14 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
NHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- 80201The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 73271The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →