NHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Minnesota Wild — Tampa Bay Lightning
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 3.0.
Facts
- League table: Minnesota Wild — No. 3, 25 pts; Tampa Bay Lightning — No. 8, 20 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Minnesota Wild 3 wins, Tampa Bay Lightning 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Minnesota Wild — Tampa Bay Lightning | 2.8–3.0 | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Minnesota Wild
- Minnesota Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.11away · Philadelphia Flyers4:2
- 01.11away · Washington Capitals5:1
- 30.10New York Islanders3:4 OT
- 28.10away · Utah Mammoth3:1
- 26.10away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 04.11Detroit Red Wings4:2
- 31.10away · Nashville Predators4:5 SO
- 30.10Winnipeg Jets6:4
- 25.10away · Utah Mammoth4:5 OT
- 24.10away · Colorado Avalanche3:6
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Tampa Bay Lightning — Minnesota Wild3:2
- 25.03.2026Tampa Bay Lightning — Minnesota Wild6:3
- 04.03.2026Minnesota Wild — Tampa Bay Lightning5:1
- 02.11.2024Minnesota Wild — Tampa Bay Lightning5:3
- 25.10.2024Tampa Bay Lightning — Minnesota Wild2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 16 | 11 | +19 | 25 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 17 | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 14 | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 16 | 10 | +3 | 20 |
NHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- 80201The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 73271The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →