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NHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Colorado Avalanche — Detroit Red Wings

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Model prediction for 8 November

Colorado Avalanche50%
Draw in regulation22%
Detroit Red Wings28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Colorado Avalanche are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.

Why

  • Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Colorado Avalanche — No. 10, 19 pts; Detroit Red Wings — No. 17, 17 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Colorado Avalanche 4 wins, Detroit Red Wings 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Colorado Avalanche — Detroit Red Wings3.3–2.6
Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)61%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)39%

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Form

Colorado Avalanche

  • 04.11away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:7
  • 03.11away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
  • 01.11Calgary Flames5:2
  • 29.10New Jersey Devils5:2
  • 26.10away · Nashville Predators2:6

Detroit Red Wings

  • 04.11away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:4
  • 03.11away · Florida Panthers5:3
  • 31.10St. Louis Blues4:5
  • 30.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 27.10away · Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO

Head to head

  • 03.02.2026Colorado Avalanche — Detroit Red Wings0:2
  • 31.01.2026Detroit Red Wings — Colorado Avalanche0:5
  • 26.03.2025Colorado Avalanche — Detroit Red Wings5:2
  • 08.12.2024Detroit Red Wings — Colorado Avalanche1:2
  • 07.03.2024Colorado Avalanche — Detroit Red Wings7:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth16100657–54+320
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionColorado Avalanche1691666–53+1319
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceDallas Stars1591544–36+819
16, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken1481552–52017
17Detroit Red Wings1673648–50-217
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →