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NHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Ottawa Senators — Utah Mammoth

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Model prediction for 8 November

Ottawa Senators38%
Draw in regulation23%
Utah Mammoth39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Ottawa Senators 49%, Utah Mammoth 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Ottawa Senators — No. 12, 19 pts; Utah Mammoth — No. 9, 20 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 4 meetings: Ottawa Senators 3 wins, Utah Mammoth 1.
  • Days of rest before the match: Ottawa Senators 6, Utah Mammoth 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Utah Mammoth2.8–2.8
Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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  • Handicap Ottawa Senators
  • Ottawa Senators goals
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Form

Ottawa Senators

  • 02.11away · Anaheim Ducks3:6
  • 31.10away · San Jose Sharks5:1
  • 30.10away · Los Angeles Kings5:6 OT
  • 28.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
  • 25.10New York Rangers7:4

Utah Mammoth

  • 04.11away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
  • 02.11away · Philadelphia Flyers3:6
  • 30.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins4:3 OT
  • 28.10Minnesota Wild1:3
  • 25.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:4 OT

Head to head

  • 08.01.2026Utah Mammoth — Ottawa Senators3:1
  • 10.11.2025Ottawa Senators — Utah Mammoth4:2
  • 27.01.2025Ottawa Senators — Utah Mammoth3:1
  • 23.10.2024Utah Mammoth — Ottawa Senators0:4

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning1492352–45+720
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth16100657–54+320
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionColorado Avalanche1691666–53+1319
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceDallas Stars1591544–36+819
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceOttawa Senators1691652–51+119
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs1782762–56+618

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →