VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Buran Voronezh — Toros Neftekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Buran Voronezh are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Buran Voronezh — No. 2, 22 pts; Toros Neftekamsk — No. 17, 15 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Toros Neftekamsk: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Buran Voronezh 1 win, Toros Neftekamsk 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Buran Voronezh — Toros Neftekamsk | 2.3–2.1 | |
| Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Buran Voronezh
- Buran Voronezh goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0
- 11.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:4 SO
- 09.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
- 07.10away · Omskie Krylia1:0
- 01.10Dyn. Altay4:2
- 15.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
- 13.10away · Krasnoyarsk0:2
- 10.10away · HC Norilsk3:5
- 05.10Kaluga0:1
- 03.10AKM0:3
Head to head
- 08.01.2026Buran Voronezh — Toros Neftekamsk2:4
- 12.11.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Buran Voronezh3:4
- 24.02.2025Buran Voronezh — Toros Neftekamsk1:2
- 24.09.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Buran Voronezh7:6 OT
- 23.01.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Buran Voronezh5:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Almetyevsk | 16 | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 2, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs | AKM | 15 | 9 | +13 | 21 |
| 16, Playoffs | Gornyak | 11 | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 14 | 6 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Rubin Tyumen | 13 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- Metallurg NovokuznetskKhimikpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Omskie KryliaChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- KrasnoyarskZvezda Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- KurganMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- KalugaBarspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →