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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Ceske Budejovice — Pardubice

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Model prediction for 15 November

Ceske Budejovice31%
Draw in regulation22%
Pardubice48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pardubice are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Ceske Budejovice — No. 5, 26 pts; Pardubice — No. 2, 36 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ceske Budejovice 1 win, Pardubice 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ceske Budejovice — Pardubice2.3–2.8
Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Ceske Budejovice
  • Ceske Budejovice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Ceske Budejovice

  • 01.11Karlovy Vary2:3
  • 30.10away · Olomouc0:4
  • 27.10Mountfield HK3:0
  • 25.10away · Mlada Boleslav2:3 SO
  • 23.10away · Trinec6:2

Pardubice

  • 01.11Mlada Boleslav4:0
  • 30.10away · Karlovy Vary4:2
  • 27.10Litvinov2:3
  • 25.10away · Mountfield HK0:2
  • 23.10away · Kladno3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Pardubice — Ceske Budejovice5:2
  • 18.01.2026Pardubice — Ceske Budejovice5:1
  • 07.12.2025Ceske Budejovice — Pardubice3:6
  • 23.10.2025Pardubice — Ceske Budejovice5:2
  • 16.09.2025Ceske Budejovice — Pardubice4:1

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKladno17733453–49+430
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary17820741–33+828
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • KladnoTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • LiberecLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Sparta PragueMountfield HKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • VitkoviceOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • PlzenMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →