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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Plzen — Mlada Boleslav

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Model prediction for 15 November

Plzen54%
Draw in regulation22%
Mlada Boleslav24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Plzen are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • Plzen are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • League table: Plzen — No. 7, 25 pts; Mlada Boleslav — No. 12, 17 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Plzen: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Plzen 4 wins, Mlada Boleslav 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Plzen — Mlada Boleslav2.6–1.8
Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Plzen
  • Plzen goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Plzen

  • 01.11Kladno6:5 SO
  • 30.10Trinec4:2
  • 27.10Olomouc3:2 OT
  • 25.10away · Liberec0:2
  • 23.10away · Litvinov0:2

Mlada Boleslav

  • 01.11away · Pardubice0:4
  • 30.10Sparta Prague1:4
  • 27.10away · Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 25.10Ceske Budejovice3:2 SO
  • 22.10away · Olomouc2:4

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Mlada Boleslav — Plzen1:4
  • 04.03.2026Mlada Boleslav — Plzen0:2
  • 04.01.2026Plzen — Mlada Boleslav6:2
  • 23.11.2025Mlada Boleslav — Plzen2:1
  • 08.10.2025Plzen — Mlada Boleslav2:0

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • KladnoTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • LiberecLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Sparta PragueMountfield HKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Ceske BudejovicePardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.2
  • VitkoviceOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →