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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Sparta Prague — Mountfield HK

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Model prediction for 15 November

Sparta Prague46%
Draw in regulation23%
Mountfield HK31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sparta Prague are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Sparta Prague — No. 6, 25 pts; Mountfield HK — No. 9, 24 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sparta Prague 1 win, Mountfield HK 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sparta Prague — Mountfield HK2.6–2.1
Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Sparta Prague
  • Sparta Prague goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sparta Prague

  • 01.11Litvinov3:0
  • 30.10away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
  • 27.10away · Kladno1:5
  • 24.10Olomouc2:1 OT
  • 23.10away · Liberec1:3

Mountfield HK

  • 01.11away · Liberec3:4 OT
  • 27.10away · Ceske Budejovice0:3
  • 25.10Pardubice2:0
  • 23.10Karlovy Vary3:4 OT
  • 18.10away · Mlada Boleslav3:4

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Mountfield HK — Sparta Prague4:3
  • 01.03.2026Mountfield HK — Sparta Prague6:3
  • 20.01.2026Sparta Prague — Mountfield HK1:2 SO
  • 21.11.2025Mountfield HK — Sparta Prague1:4
  • 03.10.2025Sparta Prague — Mountfield HK0:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • KladnoTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • LiberecLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Ceske BudejovicePardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.2
  • VitkoviceOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • PlzenMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →