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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Liberec — Litvinov

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Model prediction for 15 November

Liberec54%
Draw in regulation21%
Litvinov24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Liberec are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Liberec — No. 8, 24 pts; Litvinov — No. 11, 21 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Liberec 1 win, Litvinov 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Liberec — Litvinov2.8–1.9
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Liberec
  • Liberec goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Liberec

  • 01.11Mountfield HK4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Kladno2:4
  • 25.10Plzen2:0
  • 23.10Sparta Prague3:1
  • 20.10away · Vitkovice2:3 SO

Litvinov

  • 01.11away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 30.10Vitkovice2:3
  • 27.10away · Pardubice3:2
  • 25.10Kometa Brno1:4
  • 23.10Plzen2:0

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Litvinov — Liberec5:4 SO
  • 18.01.2026Liberec — Litvinov4:1
  • 07.12.2025Litvinov — Liberec3:2
  • 24.10.2025Litvinov — Liberec4:3 OT
  • 16.09.2025Liberec — Litvinov2:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • KladnoTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • Sparta PragueMountfield HKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Ceske BudejovicePardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.2
  • VitkoviceOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • PlzenMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →