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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Kladno — Trinec

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Model prediction for 15 November

Kladno35%
Draw in regulation22%
Trinec43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trinec are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Kladno — No. 3, 30 pts; Trinec — No. 1, 42 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kladno 1 win, Trinec 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kladno — Trinec2.5–2.8
Kladno to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kladno
  • Kladno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kladno

  • 01.11away · Plzen5:6 SO
  • 30.10Liberec4:2
  • 27.10Sparta Prague5:1
  • 25.10Vitkovice2:1
  • 23.10Pardubice4:3 OT

Trinec

  • 01.11away · Vitkovice3:1
  • 30.10away · Plzen2:4
  • 28.10away · Kometa Brno4:3 OT
  • 25.10Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 23.10Ceske Budejovice2:6

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Trinec — Kladno6:4
  • 25.02.2026Kladno — Trinec1:3
  • 28.12.2025Trinec — Kladno3:1
  • 14.11.2025Kladno — Trinec5:3
  • 28.09.2025Trinec — Kladno3:2 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKladno17733453–49+430
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary17820741–33+828

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • LiberecLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Sparta PragueMountfield HKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Ceske BudejovicePardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.2
  • VitkoviceOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • PlzenMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →