Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche | 2.2–3.5 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 26% | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 74% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chicago Blackhawks
- Chicago Blackhawks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
- 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
- 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
- 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4
- 02.10away · Utah Mammoth0:6
- 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
- 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
- 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
- 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche1:4
- 01.03.2026Colorado Avalanche — Chicago Blackhawks3:1
- 24.11.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche0:1
- 03.04.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche2:3 SO
- 11.03.2025Colorado Avalanche — Chicago Blackhawks3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Washington Capitals | 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 29 | Los Angeles Kings | 4 | 0 | -7 | 2 |
| 30 | Chicago Blackhawks | 6 | 1 | -14 | 2 |
| 31 | Philadelphia Flyers | 7 | 0 | -20 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Florida PanthersDetroit Red Wingspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- San Jose SharksCalgary Flamespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →