NHL · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche

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Model prediction for 3 November

Chicago Blackhawks19%
Draw in regulation20%
Colorado Avalanche61%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche2.2–3.5
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)26%
Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout)74%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
  • 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
  • 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
  • 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4
  • 02.10away · Utah Mammoth0:6

Colorado Avalanche

  • 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
  • 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
  • 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
  • 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
  • 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche1:4
  • 01.03.2026Colorado Avalanche — Chicago Blackhawks3:1
  • 24.11.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche0:1
  • 03.04.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Colorado Avalanche2:3 SO
  • 11.03.2025Colorado Avalanche — Chicago Blackhawks3:0

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
14, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets531113–15-27
15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche530226–17+96
16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceWashington Capitals530217–14+36
29Los Angeles Kings402210–17-72
30Chicago Blackhawks610512–26-142
31Philadelphia Flyers70258–28-202

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →