NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Chicago Blackhawks — Florida Panthers

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Model prediction for 25 October

Chicago Blackhawks28%
Draw in regulation23%
Florida Panthers49%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Florida Panthers are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Florida Panthers are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Florida Panthers2.4–3.0
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
  • 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
  • 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
  • 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4

Florida Panthers

  • 14.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets7:3
  • 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
  • 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 26.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Florida Panthers1:5
  • 08.10.2025Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks3:2
  • 01.02.2025Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks5:1
  • 22.11.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Florida Panthers3:1
  • 12.11.2023Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks4:3

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18
14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceFlorida Panthers732219–20-18
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →