AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Manitoba Moose are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 3.0.
Facts
- League table: Chicago Wolves — No. 21, 11 pts; Manitoba Moose — No. 7, 16 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Chicago Wolves 2 wins, Manitoba Moose 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose | 2.8–3.0 | |
| Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chicago Wolves
- Chicago Wolves goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 02.11Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
- 01.11Texas Stars6:3
- 27.10Manitoba Moose6:3
- 25.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:2 SO
- 25.10Milwaukee Admirals4:2
- 31.10away · Rockford IceHogs6:3
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Admirals0:3
- 27.10away · Chicago Wolves3:6
- 25.10away · Iowa Wild2:0
- 24.10away · Iowa Wild4:3
Head to head
- 27.10.2026Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose6:3
- 11.10.2026Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose1:6
- 04.10.2026Manitoba Moose — Chicago Wolves8:3
- 03.10.2026Manitoba Moose — Chicago Wolves3:0
- 16.04.2026Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 7 | +6 | 14 | .700 |
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 20 | Belleville Senators | 12 | 5 | -4 | 12 | .500 |
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Tucson RoadrunnersTexas Starspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Ontario ReignColorado Eaglespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →