Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Coachella Valley Firebirds 48%, Abbotsford Canucks 52% including overtime.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 22, 11 pts; Abbotsford Canucks — No. 2, 15 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Abbotsford Canucks: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2 wins, Abbotsford Canucks 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks | 2.8–2.9 | |
| Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Coachella Valley Firebirds
- Coachella Valley Firebirds goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 31.10Henderson Silver Knights5:1
- 29.10Tucson Roadrunners1:5
- 24.10San Jose Barracuda2:5
- 22.10away · San Diego Gulls3:2
- 19.10away · Abbotsford Canucks4:5 SO
- 31.10away · Bakersfield Condors5:1
- 29.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:2
- 26.10Calgary Wranglers4:2
- 25.10Calgary Wranglers3:1
- 19.10Coachella Valley Firebirds5:4 SO
Head to head
- 19.10.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds5:4 SO
- 18.10.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds7:3
- 20.04.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks2:4
- 05.04.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3 OT
- 04.04.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 11 | 8 | +17 | 18 | .818 |
| 2 | Abbotsford Canucks | 10 | 7 | +12 | 15 | .750 |
| 3 | Utica Comets | 8 | 6 | +1 | 12 | .750 |
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
AHL on the same day
- Chicago WolvesManitoba Moosepreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Tucson RoadrunnersTexas Starspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Ontario ReignColorado Eaglespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →