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AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 16 November

Coachella Valley Firebirds38%
Draw in regulation21%
Abbotsford Canucks41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Coachella Valley Firebirds 48%, Abbotsford Canucks 52% including overtime.

5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.9.

Facts

  • League table: Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 22, 11 pts; Abbotsford Canucks — No. 2, 15 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Abbotsford Canucks: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2 wins, Abbotsford Canucks 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks2.8–2.9
Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Coachella Valley Firebirds

  • 31.10Henderson Silver Knights5:1
  • 29.10Tucson Roadrunners1:5
  • 24.10San Jose Barracuda2:5
  • 22.10away · San Diego Gulls3:2
  • 19.10away · Abbotsford Canucks4:5 SO

Abbotsford Canucks

  • 31.10away · Bakersfield Condors5:1
  • 29.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:2
  • 26.10Calgary Wranglers4:2
  • 25.10Calgary Wranglers3:1
  • 19.10Coachella Valley Firebirds5:4 SO

Head to head

  • 19.10.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds5:4 SO
  • 18.10.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds7:3
  • 20.04.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks2:4
  • 05.04.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3 OT
  • 04.04.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds0:2

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Grand Rapids Griffins1182142–25+1718.818
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
3Utica Comets860222–21+112.750
21Chicago Wolves1151528–40-1211.500
22Coachella Valley Firebirds1143437–43-611.500
23Providence Bruins1150638–30+810.455

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →