AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
Ontario Reign — Colorado Eagles
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Colorado Eagles are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Colorado Eagles are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Ontario Reign — No. 24, 10 pts; Colorado Eagles — No. 9, 14 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Ontario Reign: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Ontario Reign 4 wins, Colorado Eagles 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ontario Reign — Colorado Eagles | 2.4–2.8 | |
| Ontario Reign to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Colorado Eagles to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Ontario Reign goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 01.11Tucson Roadrunners2:3
- 31.10Tucson Roadrunners4:5
- 29.10away · Henderson Silver Knights1:4
- 25.10away · Texas Stars2:5
- 24.10away · Texas Stars5:3
- 02.11away · San Diego Gulls2:3 SO
- 29.10Charlotte Checkers3:0
- 28.10Charlotte Checkers3:6
- 25.10Bakersfield Condors1:4
- 24.10Bakersfield Condors4:1
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Ontario Reign — Colorado Eagles2:1 OT
- 12.03.2026Ontario Reign — Colorado Eagles3:4 SO
- 25.01.2026Ontario Reign — Colorado Eagles4:1
- 15.01.2026Colorado Eagles — Ontario Reign3:4 SO
- 14.01.2026Colorado Eagles — Ontario Reign3:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 10 | Henderson Silver Knights | 10 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .600 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
AHL on the same day
- Chicago WolvesManitoba Moosepreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Tucson RoadrunnersTexas Starspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →