AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Lehigh Valley Phantoms
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — No. 14, 11 pts; Lehigh Valley Phantoms — No. 25, 9 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 4 wins, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3.4–2.5 | |
| Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Wilkes-Barre/Scranton
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · Hershey Bears5:0
- 31.10away · Utica Comets3:4
- 25.10Hartford Wolf Pack3:2
- 24.10Belleville Senators3:7
- 17.10away · Cleveland Monsters6:3
- 01.11Providence Bruins0:8
- 31.10away · Rochester Americans3:6
- 25.10Belleville Senators2:0
- 25.10Syracuse Crunch2:7
- 18.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:2 OT
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:6
- 04.04.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3:1
- 29.03.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:1
- 15.03.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:3
- 15.03.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 15 | Rochester Americans | 10 | 5 | +8 | 11 | .550 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
AHL on the same day
- Chicago WolvesManitoba Moosepreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Tucson RoadrunnersTexas Starspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Ontario ReignColorado Eaglespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →