AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
Tucson Roadrunners — Texas Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tucson Roadrunners are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Tucson Roadrunners are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Tucson Roadrunners — No. 5, 16 pts; Texas Stars — No. 32, 6 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Tucson Roadrunners: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Tucson Roadrunners 2 wins, Texas Stars 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tucson Roadrunners — Texas Stars | 3.3–2.5 | |
| Tucson Roadrunners to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tucson Roadrunners
- Tucson Roadrunners goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Ontario Reign3:2
- 31.10away · Ontario Reign5:4
- 29.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds5:1
- 25.10away · Henderson Silver Knights4:1
- 24.10away · Henderson Silver Knights1:2 OT
- 02.11away · Rockford IceHogs3:4
- 01.11away · Chicago Wolves3:6
- 25.10Ontario Reign5:2
- 24.10Ontario Reign3:5
- 18.10away · Manitoba Moose3:4 OT
Head to head
- 05.01.2025Texas Stars — Tucson Roadrunners5:0
- 04.01.2025Texas Stars — Tucson Roadrunners3:6
- 21.10.2024Tucson Roadrunners — Texas Stars3:4
- 20.10.2024Tucson Roadrunners — Texas Stars4:6
- 18.03.2024Tucson Roadrunners — Texas Stars6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 11 | 8 | +18 | 16 | .727 |
| 5 | Tucson Roadrunners | 11 | 7 | +12 | 16 | .727 |
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 7 | +6 | 14 | .700 |
| 31 | Hamilton Hammers | 12 | 3 | -18 | 8 | .333 |
| 32 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | -13 | 6 | .300 |
AHL on the same day
- Chicago WolvesManitoba Moosepreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Ontario ReignColorado Eaglespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →