AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Cleveland Monsters — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

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Model prediction for 17 October

Cleveland Monsters33%
Draw in regulation21%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton46%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cleveland Monsters — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2.6–3.0
Cleveland Monsters to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Cleveland Monsters

  • 11.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
  • 11.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:4 OT
  • 04.10Grand Rapids Griffins5:4 OT
  • 03.10Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
  • 24.05Toronto Marlies2:3

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

  • 11.10away · Providence Bruins6:2
  • 11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack7:1
  • 05.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
  • 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds2:3 OT
  • 08.06Toronto Marlies1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Cleveland Monsters4:1
  • 01.03.2026Cleveland Monsters — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:1 OT
  • 28.02.2026Cleveland Monsters — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:3
  • 15.02.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Cleveland Monsters3:4 OT
  • 20.04.2025Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Cleveland Monsters3:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
8Hershey Bears430113–9+46.750
9Cleveland Monsters430117–15+26.750
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667
13Wilkes-Barre/Scranton421117–9+85.625
14Rochester Americans421113–7+65.625

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →