AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Coachella Valley Firebirds — Colorado Eagles

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Model prediction for 5 November

Coachella Valley Firebirds37%
Draw in regulation22%
Colorado Eagles41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Coachella Valley Firebirds 47%, Colorado Eagles 53% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 16, 6 pts; Colorado Eagles — No. 6, 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2 wins, Colorado Eagles 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Coachella Valley Firebirds — Colorado Eagles2.6–2.7
Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Colorado Eagles to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Coachella Valley Firebirds

  • 15.10away · Henderson Silver Knights0:4
  • 12.10Ontario Reign2:3 OT
  • 10.10San Diego Gulls6:3
  • 04.10away · Ontario Reign6:2
  • 03.10Ontario Reign5:6 OT

Colorado Eagles

  • 11.10Abbotsford Canucks3:4
  • 10.10Abbotsford Canucks4:3 SO
  • 05.10away · Tucson Roadrunners5:3
  • 04.10away · Tucson Roadrunners2:0
  • 09.06Chicago Wolves3:4

Head to head

  • 21.05.2026Colorado Eagles — Coachella Valley Firebirds3:2
  • 18.05.2026Colorado Eagles — Coachella Valley Firebirds4:1
  • 16.05.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Colorado Eagles4:0
  • 14.05.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Colorado Eagles0:3
  • 23.03.2026Colorado Eagles — Coachella Valley Firebirds3:4 OT

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
5Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750
6Colorado Eagles430114–10+46.750
7Toronto Marlies430116–12+46.750
15Springfield Thunderbirds42118–9-15.625
16Coachella Valley Firebirds522119–18+16.600
17Hartford Wolf Pack630314–20-66.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →