AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Coachella Valley Firebirds — Henderson Silver Knights

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Model prediction for 31 October

Coachella Valley Firebirds43%
Draw in regulation21%
Henderson Silver Knights36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Coachella Valley Firebirds are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 10, 6 pts; Henderson Silver Knights — No. 27, 2 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2 wins, Henderson Silver Knights 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Coachella Valley Firebirds — Henderson Silver Knights3.0–2.8
Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Coachella Valley Firebirds

  • 12.10Ontario Reign2:3 OT
  • 10.10San Diego Gulls6:3
  • 04.10away · Ontario Reign6:2
  • 03.10Ontario Reign5:6 OT
  • 21.05away · Colorado Eagles2:3

Henderson Silver Knights

  • 11.10away · San Diego Gulls0:2
  • 05.10Bakersfield Condors1:3
  • 04.10Bakersfield Condors4:3
  • 10.05away · Colorado Eagles2:6
  • 07.05away · Colorado Eagles0:4

Head to head

  • 09.04.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Henderson Silver Knights1:3
  • 05.03.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds5:1
  • 27.02.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Henderson Silver Knights2:6
  • 08.02.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds3:4 OT
  • 07.02.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds3:4

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
9Cleveland Monsters430117–15+26.750
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
11Grand Rapids Griffins531117–13+47.700
26Rockford IceHogs31026–8-22.333
27Henderson Silver Knights31025–8-32.333
28San Jose Barracuda410311–20-92.250

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →