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NHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Los Angeles Kings — Pittsburgh Penguins

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Model prediction for 8 November

Los Angeles Kings38%
Draw in regulation23%
Pittsburgh Penguins39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Los Angeles Kings 49%, Pittsburgh Penguins 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Los Angeles Kings — No. 30, 10 pts; Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 27, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Kings 2 wins, Pittsburgh Penguins 3.
  • Days of rest before the match: Los Angeles Kings 8, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Los Angeles Kings — Pittsburgh Penguins2.8–2.8
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

Los Angeles Kings

  • 31.10Buffalo Sabres2:3
  • 30.10Ottawa Senators6:5 OT
  • 28.10away · Chicago Blackhawks1:2
  • 27.10away · New York Rangers6:3
  • 24.10away · New Jersey Devils1:3

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • 04.11Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 01.11away · Montreal Canadiens4:5
  • 30.10Utah Mammoth3:4 OT
  • 25.10Nashville Predators3:2 OT
  • 23.10Florida Panthers4:0

Head to head

  • 09.11.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Los Angeles Kings2:3
  • 17.10.2025Los Angeles Kings — Pittsburgh Penguins2:4
  • 21.01.2025Los Angeles Kings — Pittsburgh Penguins1:5
  • 18.12.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Los Angeles Kings3:2 OT
  • 19.02.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Los Angeles Kings1:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312
28Columbus Blue Jackets1360736–41-512
29Philadelphia Flyers1744937–58-2112
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →