AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Blue Arena

Colorado Eagles — Abbotsford Canucks

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Model prediction and result

3:4Missed
Colorado Eagles51%
Draw in regulation21%
Abbotsford Canucks28%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:4: the model's most likely outcome, Colorado Eagles to win (63% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Colorado Eagles are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Colorado Eagles are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.
  • Colorado Eagles: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Colorado Eagles — Abbotsford Canucks3.0–2.3
Colorado Eagles to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Colorado Eagles

  • 10.10Abbotsford Canucks4:3 SO
  • 05.10away · Tucson Roadrunners5:3
  • 04.10away · Tucson Roadrunners2:0
  • 09.06Chicago Wolves3:4
  • 08.06Chicago Wolves2:3

Abbotsford Canucks

  • 10.10away · Colorado Eagles3:4 SO
  • 04.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
  • 03.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
  • 20.04away · Coachella Valley Firebirds4:2
  • 19.04away · Ontario Reign2:0

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Colorado Eagles — Abbotsford Canucks4:3 SO
  • 08.03.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Colorado Eagles4:0
  • 07.03.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Colorado Eagles2:5
  • 09.11.2025Colorado Eagles — Abbotsford Canucks3:2 SO
  • 08.11.2025Colorado Eagles — Abbotsford Canucks4:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
5Calgary Wranglers430114–10+46.750
6Colorado Eagles430114–10+46.750
7Toronto Marlies430116–12+46.750
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375
24Abbotsford Canucks411211–15-43.375
25Texas Stars41129–15-63.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

Next matches

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →