AHL (American Hockey League) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Colorado Eagles — Charlotte Checkers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Colorado Eagles 51%, Charlotte Checkers 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Eagles — Charlotte Checkers | 2.6–2.5 | |
| Colorado Eagles to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Colorado Eagles
- Colorado Eagles goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Abbotsford Canucks3:4
- 10.10Abbotsford Canucks4:3 SO
- 05.10away · Tucson Roadrunners5:3
- 04.10away · Tucson Roadrunners2:0
- 09.06Chicago Wolves3:4
- 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds2:1 SO
- 11.10away · Providence Bruins2:6
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears2:3
- 04.10away · Hershey Bears5:2
- 26.04Springfield Thunderbirds1:2 OT
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Calgary Wranglers | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 6 | Colorado Eagles | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →