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Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · VAT Arena

Davos — EHC Kloten

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Model prediction and result

1:4Missed
Davos62%
Draw in regulation19%
EHC Kloten19%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Davos to win (75% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 75% fails in about 25 matches out of 100 on average.

Davos are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Davos are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Davos — EHC Kloten3.1–1.8
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)75%
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)25%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Davos
  • Davos goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Davos

  • 03.10away · Biel3:4
  • 02.10Ajoie3:1
  • 29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0
  • 26.09Lausanne4:2
  • 25.09away · Rapperswil-Jona2:3

EHC Kloten

  • 03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
  • 02.10Fribourg1:4
  • 29.09away · Servette0:4
  • 26.09away · Zurich2:3
  • 24.09Biel0:6

Head to head

  • 28.02.2026Davos — EHC Kloten0:2
  • 02.01.2026EHC Kloten — Davos4:1
  • 11.10.2025EHC Kloten — Davos2:3
  • 16.09.2025Davos — EHC Kloten4:2
  • 28.01.2025Davos — EHC Kloten4:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZug7401225–15+1013
11Davos11401627–31-413
12Rapperswil-Jona11221628–42-1411
13, Relegation play-offBiel10301631–35-410
14, Relegation play-offEHC Kloten11211723–40-179

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • ServetteDavos10 October · National League
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 3:2. Model's score: 3:2, exactly right.5.2
  • EHC KlotenZug11 October · National League
    2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:3, exactly right.4.6

National League on the same day

  • BernBiel
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:2, exactly right.5.1
  • Langnau TigersRapperswil-Jona
    1The most likely outcome came true: 121%Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:2.5.5
  • LuganoZurich
    2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →