KHL · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Minsk-Arena

Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg

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Model prediction and result

4:2Came true
Dinamo Minsk52%
Draw in regulation20%
SKA St. Petersburg27%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Dinamo Minsk to win (64% incl. overtime), came true.

Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Dinamo Minsk 1 win, SKA St. Petersburg 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg3.2–2.4
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dinamo Minsk
  • Dinamo Minsk goals
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Form

Dinamo Minsk

  • 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3
  • 01.10CSKA Moscow1:4
  • 28.09Lada5:4
  • 26.09away · Shanghai1:2

SKA St. Petersburg

  • 06.10Cherepovets2:5
  • 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO
  • 29.09away · CSKA Moscow5:6
  • 27.09away · Barys Astana5:3
  • 25.09away · Tractor Chelyabinsk4:3

Head to head

  • 11.03.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Dinamo Minsk4:3
  • 05.03.2026Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg1:2 OT
  • 03.02.2026Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg3:4 SO
  • 19.01.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Dinamo Minsk3:4
  • 26.12.2025Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg1:4

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceShanghai1281336–29+717
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1481547–44+317
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1481523–20+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1565442–48-617
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana1480654–40+1416

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →