VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, 19:00 (UTC+3)

Dizel — Izhevsk

Model prediction for 5 November

Dizel52%

Draw in regulation23%

Izhevsk26%

Model estimate at 03:05 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dizel are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.

Why

Dizel are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

League table: Dizel — No. 21, 14 pts; Izhevsk — No. 26, 10 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Dizel 2 wins, Izhevsk 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dizel — Izhevsk		2.5–1.8
Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout)		65%
Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)		35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		30%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		70%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Dizel
Dizel goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Dizel

15.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT
13.10away · Kurgan3:4
11.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3
05.10Dyn. Altay3:1
03.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2

Izhevsk

15.10away · Dyn. Altay3:0
13.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
11.10away · Krasnoyarsk2:3
08.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
03.10Kaluga1:3

Head to head

18.02.2026Dizel — Izhevsk2:3 OT
02.10.2025Izhevsk — Dizel4:2
12.12.2024Izhevsk — Dizel4:2
02.12.2024Dizel — Izhevsk2:1
17.01.2024Dizel — Izhevsk4:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
20	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	12	5	4	3	25–23	+2	14
21	Dizel	14	6	2	6	32–33	-1	14
22	Dinamo St. Petersburg	14	6	1	7	39–46	-7	13
25	Zvezda Moscow	14	5	1	8	33–45	-12	11
26	Izhevsk	14	4	2	8	32–40	-8	10
27	Kurgan	13	3	4	6	21–37	-16	10

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

15:00
HC NorilskSKA-VMF St. Petersburgpreliminary
4456
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
17:00
HC YugraOrskpreliminary
7921
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:13.7
19:00
AKMAlmetyevskpreliminary
4159
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
19:00
RyazanCSK VVSpreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →