Dizel — Perm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Perm are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Dizel — No. 25, 15 pts; Perm — No. 5, 28 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Dizel: 4 defeats in a row; Perm: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dizel 3 wins, Perm 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Dizel 9, Perm 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dizel — Perm | 2.0–2.1 | |
| Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dizel
- Dizel goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11Olympia4:5 SO
- 23.10Tambov1:2
- 21.10Buran Voronezh0:4
- 17.10away · HC Yugra0:3
- 15.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT
- 30.10HC Yugra3:2 SO
- 28.10Rubin Tyumen5:2
- 26.10Kurgan3:1
- 24.10Omskie Krylia2:3
- 19.10away · Dyn. Altay5:1
Head to head
- 22.02.2026Dizel — Perm1:4
- 28.09.2025Perm — Dizel2:3
- 08.12.2024Perm — Dizel2:4
- 28.11.2024Dizel — Perm4:1
- 15.01.2024Dizel — Perm2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | AKM | 21 | 12 | +13 | 29 |
| 5, Playoffs | Perm | 19 | 14 | +24 | 28 |
| 6, Playoffs | Orsk | 19 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 24 | Dyn. Altay | 19 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 19 | 7 | -15 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
- 75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →