HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.6.
Facts
- League table: HC Yugra — No. 12, 23 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: HC Yugra 2 wins, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3.
- Days of rest before the match: HC Yugra 11, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 3.0–1.6 | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 75% | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 25% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap HC Yugra
- HC Yugra goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 30.10away · Perm2:3 SO
- 28.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:5
- 26.10away · Izhevsk5:4
- 24.10away · Olympia4:0
- 19.10Kristall Saratov3:1
- 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
- 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
- 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 23.10HC Norilsk1:2
Head to head
- 08.01.2026HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk6:3
- 05.11.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Yugra3:4 SO
- 28.01.2025HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:2
- 23.10.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Yugra6:2
- 08.02.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Yugra4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 12, Playoffs | HC Yugra | 19 | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →