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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk

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Model prediction for 10 November

HC Yugra63%
Draw in regulation19%
Chelmet Chelyabinsk18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

HC Yugra are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.6.

Facts

  • League table: HC Yugra — No. 12, 23 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: HC Yugra 2 wins, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3.
  • Days of rest before the match: HC Yugra 11, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3.0–1.6
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)75%
Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)25%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap HC Yugra
  • HC Yugra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

HC Yugra

  • 30.10away · Perm2:3 SO
  • 28.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:5
  • 26.10away · Izhevsk5:4
  • 24.10away · Olympia4:0
  • 19.10Kristall Saratov3:1

Chelmet Chelyabinsk

  • 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
  • 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
  • 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
  • 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
  • 23.10HC Norilsk1:2

Head to head

  • 08.01.2026HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk6:3
  • 05.11.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Yugra3:4 SO
  • 28.01.2025HC Yugra — Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:2
  • 23.10.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Yugra6:2
  • 08.02.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — HC Yugra4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh18112539–33+624
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
29CSK VVS18421235–62-2710
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk18421231–64-3310

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →