VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)
Rubin Tyumen — Gornyak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Rubin Tyumen 47%, Gornyak 53% including overtime.
4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.1 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Rubin Tyumen — No. 20, 19 pts; Gornyak — No. 18, 20 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Rubin Tyumen: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Rubin Tyumen 4 wins, Gornyak 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Rubin Tyumen 7, Gornyak 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Tyumen — Gornyak | 2.1–2.2 | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 32% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rubin Tyumen
- Rubin Tyumen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11Orsk3:4 SO
- 28.10away · Perm2:5
- 26.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 24.10away · Izhevsk5:2
- 22.10away · Olympia0:1 SO
- 31.10Dyn. Altay3:2
- 29.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:4 SO
- 27.10Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 25.10HC Norilsk0:2
- 18.10away · Kaluga3:1
Head to head
- 08.01.2026Rubin Tyumen — Gornyak3:2 OT
- 09.11.2025Gornyak — Rubin Tyumen4:1
- 24.01.2025Rubin Tyumen — Gornyak2:1
- 27.10.2024Gornyak — Rubin Tyumen2:4
- 02.02.2024Gornyak — Rubin Tyumen1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Olympia | 22 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | +3 | 20 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
VHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
- 75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →