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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Kristall Saratov — Toros Neftekamsk

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Model prediction for 10 November

Kristall Saratov36%
Draw in regulation23%
Toros Neftekamsk41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Toros Neftekamsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Kristall Saratov — No. 14, 23 pts; Toros Neftekamsk — No. 13, 23 pts.
  • Toros Neftekamsk: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kristall Saratov 2 wins, Toros Neftekamsk 3.
  • Days of rest before the match: Kristall Saratov 7, Toros Neftekamsk 13.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kristall Saratov — Toros Neftekamsk2.2–2.4
Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kristall Saratov
  • Kristall Saratov goals
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Form

Kristall Saratov

  • 03.11Olympia2:3
  • 25.10Tambov3:2
  • 23.10Buran Voronezh4:2
  • 19.10away · HC Yugra1:3
  • 17.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:1

Toros Neftekamsk

  • 28.10HC Yugra5:2
  • 26.10Rubin Tyumen4:1
  • 24.10Kurgan4:3
  • 22.10Omskie Krylia0:2
  • 17.10away · Dyn. Altay2:1

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Kristall Saratov — Toros Neftekamsk6:2
  • 02.10.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Kristall Saratov5:1
  • 18.12.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Kristall Saratov3:2
  • 08.12.2024Kristall Saratov — Toros Neftekamsk3:2
  • 25.01.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Kristall Saratov4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →