VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 24%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.1 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — No. 7, 27 pts; SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — No. 10, 25 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3 wins, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 6, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 13.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 2.1–1.8 | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 24% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 76% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Metallurg Novokuznetsk
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.11Khimik5:6
- 29.10away · Gornyak4:3 SO
- 27.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:1
- 25.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:0
- 23.10away · Orsk1:2
- 28.10Kaluga2:0
- 26.10AKM5:0
- 24.10Ryazan4:0
- 16.10away · Bars4:0
- 14.10away · Almetyevsk1:2 SO
Head to head
- 15.12.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg6:1
- 04.12.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
- 19.02.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:3
- 04.10.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:3 OT
- 05.02.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | Orsk | 19 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
VHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- 75251The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →