Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dynamo Moscow are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Dynamo Moscow — No. 13, 23 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Dynamo Moscow 3 wins, Yekaterinburg 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg | 2.3–2.1 | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dynamo Moscow
- Dynamo Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11away · Dinamo Minsk4:0
- 28.10Khabarovsk2:1
- 26.10Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
- 23.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2 OT
- 20.10Novosibirsk2:3 SO
- 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
- 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 26.10Barys Astana4:1
- 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
- 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
Head to head
- 05.09.2026Yekaterinburg — Dynamo Moscow2:1
- 04.03.2026Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg0:4
- 13.02.2026Yekaterinburg — Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 03.03.2025Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg4:1
- 23.10.2024Yekaterinburg — Dynamo Moscow1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokBars Kazanpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- MagnitogorskDinamo Minskpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Salavat UfaNiznekamskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Tractor ChelyabinskLadapreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →