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KHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg

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Model prediction for 24 November

Dynamo Moscow42%
Draw in regulation23%
Yekaterinburg34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dynamo Moscow are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Dynamo Moscow — No. 13, 23 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dynamo Moscow 3 wins, Yekaterinburg 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg2.3–2.1
Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dynamo Moscow
  • Dynamo Moscow goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dynamo Moscow

  • 01.11away · Dinamo Minsk4:0
  • 28.10Khabarovsk2:1
  • 26.10Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
  • 23.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2 OT
  • 20.10Novosibirsk2:3 SO

Yekaterinburg

  • 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
  • 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
  • 26.10Barys Astana4:1
  • 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
  • 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1

Head to head

  • 05.09.2026Yekaterinburg — Dynamo Moscow2:1
  • 04.03.2026Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg0:4
  • 13.02.2026Yekaterinburg — Dynamo Moscow1:2
  • 03.03.2025Dynamo Moscow — Yekaterinburg4:1
  • 23.10.2024Yekaterinburg — Dynamo Moscow1:2

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok22103956–60-423
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDynamo Moscow24951050–62-1223
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg21102957–53+422
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceAvangard Omsk20102840–47-722

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →