KHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Salavat Ufa 53%, Niznekamsk 47% including overtime.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Salavat Ufa — No. 18, 21 pts; Niznekamsk — No. 6, 29 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Salavat Ufa: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Salavat Ufa 5 wins, Niznekamsk 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Shanghai2:3
- 27.10Sochi1:2
- 25.10Bars Kazan1:2
- 21.10away · Magnitogorsk5:4 SO
- 19.10away · Vladivostok0:2
- 03.11away · Sochi2:1
- 01.11away · Novosibirsk3:1
- 29.10Vladivostok3:4
- 27.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Avangard Omsk3:2
Head to head
- 12.10.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk4:3
- 18.09.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk2:0
- 18.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk3:0
- 02.02.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk2:1
- 05.01.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 22 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokBars Kazanpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- MagnitogorskDinamo Minskpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Tractor ChelyabinskLadapreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
- Dynamo MoscowYekaterinburgpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →