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KHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Magnitogorsk — Dinamo Minsk

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Model prediction for 24 November

Magnitogorsk46%
Draw in regulation22%
Dinamo Minsk32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Magnitogorsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 36 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Magnitogorsk 5 wins, Dinamo Minsk 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — Dinamo Minsk2.7–2.3
Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Magnitogorsk
  • Magnitogorsk goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Magnitogorsk

  • 03.11CSKA Moscow3:7
  • 31.10away · Yekaterinburg4:3
  • 29.10away · Novosibirsk2:5
  • 27.10away · Niznekamsk3:2 OT
  • 24.10Novosibirsk5:1

Dinamo Minsk

  • 01.11Dynamo Moscow0:4
  • 30.10Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
  • 28.10Barys Astana0:1
  • 24.10away · Nizhny Novgorod2:1 OT
  • 22.10away · Sochi2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 14.10.2026Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk1:3
  • 03.03.2026Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk0:3
  • 31.01.2026Magnitogorsk — Dinamo Minsk5:4
  • 28.01.2025Magnitogorsk — Dinamo Minsk4:1
  • 17.10.2024Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk0:2

Full record: 28 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk24172579–56+2336
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow22170573–42+3134
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceAvangard Omsk20102840–47-722
16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk2286851–66-1522
17SKA St. Petersburg211011062–65-321

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →