KHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Vladivostok — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bars Kazan are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Vladivostok — No. 12, 23 pts; Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Vladivostok 0 wins, Bars Kazan 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vladivostok — Bars Kazan | 2.2–2.4 | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vladivostok
- Vladivostok goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11SKA St. Petersburg4:0
- 01.11Khabarovsk2:5
- 29.10away · Niznekamsk4:3
- 27.10away · Lada3:1
- 25.10away · Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
- 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
- 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
- 23.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:3
Head to head
- 07.09.2026Bars Kazan — Vladivostok2:0
- 21.01.2026Vladivostok — Bars Kazan1:4
- 19.01.2026Vladivostok — Bars Kazan2:5
- 27.10.2025Bars Kazan — Vladivostok3:2 OT
- 25.10.2025Bars Kazan — Vladivostok5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskDinamo Minskpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Salavat UfaNiznekamskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Tractor ChelyabinskLadapreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
- Dynamo MoscowYekaterinburgpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →