KHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Tractor Chelyabinsk — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 19, 21 pts; Lada — No. 22, 13 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Tractor Chelyabinsk 5 wins, Lada 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Lada | 2.8–1.8 | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tractor Chelyabinsk
- Tractor Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11Barys Astana2:1
- 01.11CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
- 30.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 28.10away · CSKA Moscow1:5
- 26.10Novosibirsk2:1
- 02.11away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 30.10Avangard Omsk3:2 OT
- 27.10Vladivostok1:3
- 25.10Sochi3:4
- 23.10Shanghai0:2
Head to head
- 23.02.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Lada4:2
- 25.12.2025Lada — Tractor Chelyabinsk1:6
- 10.03.2025Lada — Tractor Chelyabinsk0:6
- 21.02.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Lada4:1
- 07.01.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Lada5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 22 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokBars Kazanpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- MagnitogorskDinamo Minskpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Salavat UfaNiznekamskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Dynamo MoscowYekaterinburgpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →